Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.060004 0.068006 0.076278 0.085439 0.095270 0.105475 0.116840
2025-03-30 0.048020 0.059963 0.073029 0.088243 0.105331 0.123802 0.145149
2025-04-06 0.040783 0.055255 0.071836 0.091905 0.115215 0.141140 0.171864
2025-04-13 0.033623 0.049324 0.068119 0.091676 0.119848 0.151943 0.190766
2025-04-20 0.031007 0.048374 0.069863 0.097491 0.131215 0.170274 0.218178
2025-04-27 0.025651 0.043198 0.065795 0.095724 0.133118 0.177226 0.232143
2025-05-04 0.023127 0.041431 0.065759 0.098717 0.140614 0.190695 0.253722
2025-05-11 0.019682 0.037937 0.063104 0.098071 0.143370 0.198295 0.268209
2025-05-18 0.017850 0.036549 0.063098 0.100722 0.150171 0.210775 0.288570
2025-05-25 0.016046 0.034973 0.062658 0.102665 0.155983 0.221998 0.307417
2025-06-01 0.013269 0.031490 0.059218 0.100302 0.156023 0.225891 0.317180
2025-06-08 0.010930 0.028390 0.056063 0.098095 0.156078 0.229663 0.326692
2025-06-15 0.010095 0.027942 0.057024 0.101932 0.164572 0.244682 0.350932
2025-06-22 0.008979 0.026846 0.056939 0.104300 0.171195 0.257491 0.372692
2025-06-29 0.008285 0.026458 0.057917 0.108199 0.179933 0.273108 0.398124
2025-07-06 0.006914 0.024465 0.056134 0.107908 0.182845 0.281134 0.413960
2025-07-13 0.006821 0.025168 0.058827 0.114342 0.195140 0.301510 0.445646
2025-07-20 0.005445 0.022758 0.056069 0.112384 0.195608 0.306290 0.457376
2025-07-27 0.004977 0.022374 0.056764 0.115697 0.203510 0.320927 0.481833
2025-08-03 0.004059 0.020654 0.054942 0.114982 0.205609 0.327811 0.496284
2025-08-10 0.003668 0.020239 0.055444 0.117913 0.212946 0.341732 0.519918
2025-08-17 0.003236 0.019604 0.055479 0.120060 0.219137 0.354127 0.541606
2025-08-24 0.002434 0.017576 0.052670 0.117448 0.218262 0.356868 0.550599